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Predicting Repeat and Total Visits to a Destination Using Simulation Modeling Through Time

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dc.contributor.author Assaker, Guy
dc.contributor.author El-Haddad, Rania
dc.date.accessioned 2016-05-09T06:44:47Z
dc.date.available 2016-05-09T06:44:47Z
dc.date.copyright 2012 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 1302-8545‎ en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10725/3719
dc.description.abstract Previous literature has shown that important variations exist over time regarding the extent to which visitors make return trips to tourist destinations. This paper provides an analytical framework to account for time discrepancies in behavior and helps predict repeat visits to a destination at different time points. The authors carried out an empirically validated three-parameter Weibull distribution and a 50-period numerical simulation exercise to illustrate ways in which the pattern of repeat visits affects total visitors through time. Several scenarios representing different distribution parameters and different intensities of initial trips are illustrated. Implications for destination managers and future research extensions are suggested en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.title Predicting Repeat and Total Visits to a Destination Using Simulation Modeling Through Time en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dc.description.version Published en_US
dc.author.school SOB en_US
dc.author.idnumber 199635060 en_US
dc.author.idnumber 201001437
dc.author.department Department of Economics (ECON) en_US
dc.description.embargo N/A en_US
dc.relation.journal Journal of Travel and Tourism Research en_US
dc.journal.volume 12 en_US
dc.journal.issue 1 en_US
dc.article.pages 34-49 en_US
dc.keywords Repeat visits en_US
dc.keywords Tourist destinations en_US
dc.keywords Recency-frequency theorem en_US
dc.keywords Simulation en_US
dc.identifier.ctation Assaker, G., & El-Haddad, R. (2012). Predicting Repeat and Total Visits to a Destination Using Simulation Modeling Through Time. Journal of Travel and Tourism Research (Online), 12(1), 34. en_US
dc.author.email guy.assaker@lau.edu.lb en_US
dc.author.email rania.elhaddad@lau.edu.lb
dc.identifier.tou http://libraries.lau.edu.lb/research/laur/terms-of-use/articles.php en_US
dc.identifier.url http://search.proquest.com/docview/1439928150?pq-origsite=gscholar en_US


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