Stochastic-based production costing model. (c2010)

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dc.contributor.author Hamdan, Hassan A.
dc.date.accessioned 2010-12-20T07:42:55Z
dc.date.available 2010-12-20T07:42:55Z
dc.date.copyright 2010 en_US
dc.date.issued 2010-12-20
dc.date.submitted 2010-10
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10725/160
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (leaves 154-156). en_US
dc.description.abstract The Lebanese Electric Power System (LEPS) suffers from technical and financial deficiencies that required the development of a policy paper to rescue the power sector from the current drastic situation to a new sustainable, reliable, and efficient delivery of electricity. The plan includes ten strategic initiatives and 42 action steps that are integrated and correlated to cover the sector’s infrastructure, supply/demand, and the legal aspects. This ambitious but realistic policy was prepared after a review of all previous studies, and in collaboration of all concerned parties, whether internal or external, constitutional and political, and was approved consensually by the Council Of Ministers on June 21, 2010. It is proposed that the implementation of the energy policy will result in a solid power sector with sufficient generation capacity, reliable transmission and distribution networks, and efficient delivery of electricity to cope with the overall socio-economic development of Lebanon. The policy targets a gradual implementation of the initiatives in the short and medium terms totaling 4870 M$ (Government in Lebanon up to 1550 M$, the private sector contribution of 2320 M$, and the international donor community up to 1000 M$), and an additional amount of 1650 M$ in the long term. The full implementation of all the strategic initiatives in this policy will reduce the total losses from 4.4 Billion $ in 2010 to zero in 2014 where 24/24 hours of service is provided, and the possibility of profit making as of 2015; while it will reach 9.5 Billion $ in 2015 if no action is taken. This thesis uses the Load Modification Technique (LMT) as a stochastic tool to assess the impact of implementing the initiatives of the proposed energy policy on energy production, overall cost, technical and commercial losses, reliability and customer service. New modeling capabilities of the traditional LMT method are proposed in this thesis for off-peak energy dispatch. The proposed LMT technique is used to establish a technical and financial baseline of the LEPS against which the full implementation of the energy policy is compared and the resulting tariff is calculated. Selected scenarios are also presented to show the technical and financial impact of individual projects on the system. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.subject Electric power systems -- Lebanon en_US
dc.subject Electric power production -- Lebanon en_US
dc.subject Energy policy -- Lebanon en_US
dc.title Stochastic-based production costing model. (c2010) en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
dc.title.subtitle evaluation of the energy policy paper for the leps en_US
dc.term.submitted Fall en_US
dc.author.school Engineering en_US
dc.author.idnumber 200300436 en_US
dc.author.commembers Samer Saab en_US
dc.author.woa OA en_US
dc.author.department MSE in Computer Engineering en_US
dc.description.physdesc 1 CD-ROM + 1 bound copy: xxi, 284 p.; col. ill.; 30 cm. available at BY library. en_US
dc.author.division Computer Engineering en_US
dc.author.advisor Raymond Ghajar en_US
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.26756/th.2010.18 en_US

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